Williams’ Contract, Rising WR Market To Impact Bucs, Godwin


Fasten these seatbelts, Bucs followers. The Chris Godwin trip to a long run contract simply obtained somewhat bit bumpier.

On Tuesday, Chargers vast receiver Mike Williams made headlines when he re-signed in Los Angeles. Nicely, he would have made headlines if Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson weren’t already occupying all of them. In a shocking transfer, the Chargers re-signed Williams to a 3-year, $60 million contract, with $40 million assured. That contract was effectively past the projections of most cap consultants, who thought the 27-year outdated receiver would are available in nearer to $17 million per yr.

However the common annual worth is only the start of the surprises in Williams’ contract. Additionally of observe is the brevity of the contract, giving Williams the bag for simply three years of staff management. Meaning the five-year professional will hit the market once more at 30 years outdated, with the potential to money in on one other sturdy deal. However the largest merchandise in Williams’ favor is the absolutely assured cash. Virtually 67 % of the Clemson product’s new contract is absolutely assured! That’s an absurd discrepancy between Williams and the remainder of the NFL.

Clearly the 3-year deal is vital context, somewhat than the 4-5 yr offers which are sometimes handed out. However there is no such thing as a means to take a look at Williams’ contract and never think about it a large win for the participant. In reality, PFF’s contract knowledgeable Brad Spielberger referred to as it “one of many stronger offers for a participant in latest reminiscence”.

Influence On Godwin’s Market

That’s nice for Williams. However the actuality is that he isn’t one of the best and even second-best vast receiver available on the market this offseason. We already know Davante Adams is probably going going to be the very best paid vast receiver within the NFL. He’s in a bunch by himself. However Chris Godwin’s contract was anticipated to be extra in keeping with Williams’ projected deal. Now, all of that’s up within the air.

The Bucs positioned the franchise tag on Chris Godwin shortly after Williams’ contract was introduced. It’s extremely unlikely the 2 strikes have been associated. Godwin was heading for the tag anyway, with the Bucs decided to not let him hit the market. Additionally, it’s naive to assume the Bucs have been shocked by the Williams’ contract. In any case, Godwin and Williams have the identical agent. As an alternative, Williams’ contract is a transparent indicator as to why it has been so laborious for Tampa Bay to lock Godwin right into a long run deal.

Godwin desires a contract extra in keeping with the cash Williams is getting. That’s effectively above the $16-17.5 million per yr vary that almost all projections had him touchdown in. Now, Godwin might get the $40 million assured that Williams obtained. However it will probably come over a four-year contract, with the Bucs wanting management till his age 30 season. Godwin is a few year-and-a-half youthful than Williams.

May Godwin’s Damage Decrease Bucs Value Tag?

Now, Godwin’s harm does complicate issues. If each gamers have been absolutely wholesome, I feel most groups would worth Godwin extra. He’s extra scheme versatile and well-rounded, and has 4 consecutive 50+ catch seasons. Williams solely has a type of. However Godwin tore his ACL and MCL in December. The uncertainty of his harm might end in a decrease payout than Williams.

That’s a side of free company Godwin can’t keep away from. If there’s any leverage the Bucs have, it’s that they know Godwin doesn’t need to play on the tag once more. He did that final yr, and suffered a significant harm. Now that harm is the one factor standing between him and a pay day like Williams. He might get there this offseason, but when Godwin performs on the tag and suffers one other important harm, his free company market will plummet. He’ll go from $18-20 million per yr conversations to JuJu Smith-Schuster-level offers.

Leverage Is Now Moot For Bucs, Godwin

Godwin must signal a long-term deal this offseason. And the Bucs want him to signal a long run deal, quickly. Tampa Bay wants the cap area to re-sign different key free brokers. There isn’t any longer any doubt about what it’s going to price to maintain Godwin round. Spielberger informed me he now tasks Godwin to garner a 4-year, $76 million take care of $50 million assured. So rather less annual worth, however extra in ensures over a four-year deal.

One caveat right here: state earnings tax. One motive Williams contract numbers are so excessive is that he’s in Los Angeles. The state earnings tax in California is 12.3 %! In the meantime, in Florida there is no such thing as a state earnings tax. So Godwin might make a pair much less million per yr than Williams, and nonetheless in all probability usher in extra money. After all, the agent might not think about that if he simply desires two vast receivers making $20 million per yr.

At this level, Godwin and the Bucs are married. The truth is that the Bucs will in all probability have to pay him within the $19-20 million vary. Either side now know this. It’s not going to be as team-friendly because it initially appeared, nevertheless it gained’t kill Tampa Bay both. They should recover from the thought that they might hold Godwin for lower than Mike Evans’ AAV (common annual worth) of $16.5 million. That’s not going to occur. Nor does Evans care.

The Bucs can lengthen Evans and bump his wage this offseason. Or they will simply settle for that the market rises, Evans was paid years in the past and he’ll sometime be paid once more. The vital factor is that Godwin is again for 2022 and past, and that Tampa Bay can re-sign different key free brokers. Now either side have to get the deal completed and never let negotiations drag into free company.



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