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Pewter Report’s Scott Reynolds solutions your questions from the @PewterReport Twitter account every week within the Bucs Monday Mailbag Submit your query to the Bucs Monday Mailbag every week through Twitter utilizing the hashtag #PRMailbag. Listed here are the questions we selected to reply for this week’s version.
QUESTION: Do you assume Ali Marpet retiring modifications the Bucs’ offseason plans considerably? As in presumably persuading them to not go all-in as they could have? Presumably rethink pushing Tom Brady’s cap hit to 2023 as an alternative of simply taking it now?
ANSWER: We’ll see. I’ll say that from what I’ve realized over the previous 24 hours, Ali Marpet’s sudden retirement may very effectively trigger the workforce to chart a brand new course. Marpet gave the Bucs some discover just a few weeks in the past that he was considering retirement this offseason, so this wasn’t a whole shock to the workforce on Sunday afternoon. There will likely be some cap financial savings for the Bucs with Marpet’s retirement. The wage cap particulars are chronicled in Josh Queipo’s article which you could learn right here.
With Tom Brady’s retirement, Marpet’s retirement, the probability that tight finish Rob Gronkowski strikes on, and a rising sense that middle Ryan Jensen would possibly value himself out of Tampa Bay’s value vary, the Bucs could also be transitioning from “reload” to “reboot” this offseason. Followers could not wish to hear that, however Tampa Bay ramped up for a Tremendous Bowl and obtained one with Tom Brady. That’s the constructive.
With extra holes to fill now with Marpet’s retirement the Bucs will want extra wage cap room so as to add extra gamers. Tampa Bay will nonetheless push a part of Brady’s cap hit into 2023 as an alternative of taking the $17 million cap hit this season. As I wrote about in a earlier SR’s Fab 5 and Queipo wrote final week, the Bucs will probably make the choice to formally put him on the reserve/retired checklist on June 2.
The Bucs had been imagined to take a $34 million lifeless cap hit for Brady. Nevertheless it seems like they are going to be profit from having the ability to get better $16 million in bonus cash if he retired previous to 2023. The Athletic’s Greg Auman reported the information first. So the workforce will nonetheless take an $8 million cap hit this 12 months and and push the remainder of the lifeless cap cash into 2023.
Merely put, the Bucs can’t afford to soak up what could be a $17 million cap hit this 12 months with the quantity of gamers that should be re-signed and added. Tampa Bay will do the identical factor with Marpet to create extra cap area for the 2022 season.
There will likely be some regression this 12 months with out Brady, Marpet and several other different key contributors that will likely be shifting on. But the Bucs nonetheless have a reasonably proficient roster with a minimum of 5 Professional Bowlers below contract. Tampa Bay just isn’t going to win 13 video games this season, particularly with an extremely troublesome schedule. However the Bucs may very effectively go 9-8 and nonetheless win the NFC South, which is the worst division within the convention.
QUESTION: What different surprises are we in retailer for earlier than September?
ANSWER: Buckle up! This Bucs offseason is simply getting began. That is most likely going to be essentially the most unpredictable and suspenseful free company and NFL Draft season in an extended, very long time.
The excellent news is that the cabinet isn’t naked. Not all is misplaced regardless of some excessive profile departures this offseason. There may be nonetheless a great quantity of expertise in Tampa Bay. It’s as much as normal supervisor Jason Licht so as to add extra now and restock the cabinet. Hopefully from right here on out the surprises will likely be good ones for the workforce and Bucs followers.
QUESTION: Do the Bucs view Alex Cappa as a $10+ million greenback participant alongside the road now that Ali Marpet has retired?
ANSWER: That’s an awesome query. Spotrac has Alex Cappa’s market worth at $10.7 million. That’s probably greater than the Bucs would wish to pay their beginning proper guard. However PFF is a extra dependable supply for contract projections, and they put Cappa round $9.25 million per 12 months. I’m undecided what the market will bear for Cappa, nor what the Bucs could be prepared to spend. However each the workforce and I believe that there will likely be a niche between these numbers.
Tampa Bay would like to have Cappa again on the proper value, which is believed to be lower than $10 million. The workforce has been happy along with his progress and growth as he has transitioned to protect. I simply don’t assume the Bucs really feel that Cappa’s ceiling is that of a Professional Bowler. They wish to reserve $10 million-plus contracts for Professional Bowl-caliber offensive linemen.
The Bucs have stockpiled the guard place over the previous few years with a number of promising but unheralded gamers. Aaron Stinnie, who changed Cappa through the 2020 postseason, may very well be re-signed for less expensive. He’s not as proficient as Cappa, however he’s not an enormous step down, both.
The Bucs even have Nick Leverett, John Molchon and Sadarius Hutcherson on the roster that they’re growing. Along with Stinnie, a type of gamers may wind up beginning this 12 months. Two of them would possibly begin, however it’s probably that Tampa Bay will add much more expertise in free company and the draft. The Bucs may even probably add a free agent middle to compete with Robert Hainsey for the correct to begin.
QUESTION: Does Ali Marpet retiring change the best way Chris Godwin seems on the Bucs in free company?
ANSWER: I don’t assume so. New free brokers look tougher on the roster they’re going to go to greater than gamers who’re re-signing. I might be shocked if Chris Godwin doesn’t re-sign with the Bucs. Tampa Bay goes to pay him someplace between $15 – $17 million per season, which will likely be at or near market worth.
Godwin has posted two 1,000-yard seasons, together with a Professional Bowl 12 months in 2019. He is aware of that he’ll get extra targets in Bruce Arians’ system than anyplace else. Godwin likes his slot in Tampa Bay and enjoying reverse Mike Evans, who’s simply as a lot an enormous brother to him as a teammate. Even with Ali Marpet’s retirement, the Bucs nonetheless have a really proficient roster and Godwin is aware of that.
QUESTION: Jason Licht has a historical past of double dipping at positions within the draft. What place do you assume is the probably to be the place that will get double dipped this 12 months?
ANSWER: Nice query. Lots will rely upon what occurs (or doesn’t occur) in free company first. The primary couple of Pewter Report 2022 Bucs 7-Spherical Mock Drafts had been primarily crapshoots as Tampa Bay may go in a mess of instructions within the draft.
So far as double dipping, we’ve seen Jason Licht do this in a number of drafts. In 2014 he drafted a pair of receivers in Mike Evans and Robert Herron. He additionally drafted a pair of offensive linemen in Kadeem Edwards and Kevin Pamphile on Day 3 that 12 months. In 2015, Licht drafted one other pair of O-linemen in Donovan Smith and Ali Marpet, and two extra receivers in Kenny Bell and Kaelin Clay.
The following 12 months, Licht doubled up on cornerbacks with Vernon Hargreaves III and Ryan Smith. He did the identical factor with cornerbacks M.J. Stewart and Carlton Davis III in 2018 and cornerbacks Sean Murphy-Bunting and Jamel Dean in 2019. A pair of working backs had been chosen in 2020 in Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Raymond Calais. Final 12 months, it was a Day 3 linebacker duo in Ok.J. Britt and Grant Stuard.
Because it stands proper now, I may see Licht double dip alongside the offensive line given the present holes there, or defensive sort out if Ndamukong Suh and Steve McLendon each retire this offseason. Given the dearth of depth at tight finish and working again, I wouldn’t rule these positions out, both.
QUESTION: What’s the newest on our QB scenario? Don’t inform me about Blaine Gabbert or Kyle Trask – they won’t do.
ANSWER: Nicely, Kyle Trask is the one quarterback below contract in Tampa Bay proper now. The Bucs most likely re-sign Blaine Gabbert as a fallback starter possibility. Sorry. We’ll see if the Bucs can add one other quarterback that step in as a starter.
The feelers I’m getting from the Bucs entrance workplace tells me that the workforce doesn’t have important curiosity in buying and selling for Houston’s Deshaun Watson. The workforce can also be not below the impression that Seattle will deal Russell Wilson, both. Maybe Carson Wentz will likely be obtainable in some unspecified time in the future this offseason. There will likely be some groups that may jettison QBs after they draft their replacements in April. Keep tuned.
QUESTION: Ought to I refill on booze for subsequent season and why is the reply sure?
ANSWER: Sure, refill! Why not? It’s going to be a enjoyable and unpredictable offseason – and season forward in Tampa Bay. There will likely be some highs this 12 months, however anticipate extra lows than we’ve seen with the Bucs over the previous two years. Drink up … and cheers!