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Pewter Report’s Scott Reynolds solutions your questions from the @PewterReport Twitter account every week within the Bucs Monday Mailbag Submit your query to the Bucs Monday Mailbag every week through Twitter utilizing the hashtag #PRMailbag. Listed below are the questions we selected to reply for this week’s version.
QUESTION: I perceive it’s extremely unlikely, but when Tom Brady needed to play for an additional workforce, what sort of commerce capital would the Bucs be on the lookout for? Would the draft decide be helpful in a commerce for an additional high title QB? Thanks for every part you guys do!
ANSWER: The Bucs would wish to commerce Tom Brady after June 1 to keep away from an enormous lifeless cap hit. Reducing him or buying and selling him previous to June 1 would lead to Tampa Bay taking a $32 million cap hit. Except he agrees to a contract restructure, Brady presently occupies $20,270,588 of the Bucs’ wage cap room.
After June 1, Brady would rely $8 million in the direction of the 2022 cap hit, which might lead to a cap financial savings of round $12 million. The remaining $24 million cap hit could be pushed into the 2023 season. The wage cap is predicted to rise considerably in 2023, so Brady’s cap hit could possibly be extra simply absorbed subsequent 12 months.
So let’s comply with your premise and suppose Brady needs out of Tampa Bay for some purpose. What workforce would Brady wish to go to? The 49ers take advantage of sense as a result of they made it to the NFC Championship Sport. That was additionally his favourite workforce rising up in San Mateo, California. San Francisco has some good weapons within the passing recreation, an offensive-minded head coach in Kyle Shanahan and an excellent protection.
The 49ers would additionally wish to do away with beginning quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, and the Bucs would favor to begin a veteran QB in 2022 as a result of Kyle Trask, final 12 months’s second-round decide, isn’t prepared. I might not be in favor of the Bucs buying and selling Brady for Garoppolo, who’s a mediocre quarterback. If normal supervisor Jason Licht traded Brady for Garoppolo he would get crucified by the media and Bucs followers – and rightfully so.
The issue for Brady if he needs to return out of retirement later this spring and play for an additional workforce could be studying a brand new offense and new teammates in a truncated time period. Due to the Bucs’ wage cap state of affairs, they will’t commerce Brady till after June 1. That might give him even much less time to get acclimated to the 49ers than he had studying the Bucs new offense and roster when he signed with Tampa Bay in March of 2020.
One other state of affairs could be Josh McDaniels, Brady’s former offensive coordinator in New England, making a commerce for Brady. The Bucs might theoretically purchase Derek Carr, who could be a significantly better possibility than Garappolo. Brady already is aware of McDaniels’ offense, so the educational curve wouldn’t be practically as steep. Tampa Bay would reasonably commerce Brady to an AFC workforce reasonably than an NFC workforce just like the 49ers. Particularly as a result of the Bucs will play the 49ers this 12 months.
However would Brady wish to reside and play in Las Vegas? The Raiders made the playoffs in 2021, however misplaced within the first spherical at Cincinnati. Las Vegas is beginning a little bit of a rebuild with McDaniels on the helm. The Raiders should not as proficient in 2022 because the Bucs had been when Brady got here to city in 2020.
The one means I might see Tampa Bay buying and selling Brady could be to amass one other quarterback like Los Angeles and Detroit did swapping Jared Goff for Matthew Stafford. That commerce additionally included the Lions receiving a third-round decide in 2021 and first-round picks in 2022 and 2023 from the Rams. So I might see Licht asking for the same draft decide package deal if Brady had been to be dealt. However the guess right here is that if Brady does play in 2022 it’s in Tampa Bay.
QUESTION: After Chris Godwin, what are the High 3 free agent re-signings that administration is specializing in?
ANSWER: There is no such thing as a doubt that the Bucs view re-signing extensive receiver Chris Godwin as a high precedence. In spite of everything, he was given the franchise tag final 12 months in free company. I absolutely suspect that the Bucs will efficiently re-sign Godwin, who’s coming off a torn ACL damage. Count on Tampa Bay to pay Godwin within the neighborhood of $17 million per 12 months.
After Godwin, the following Buccaneer to be prioritized will likely be cornerback Carlton Davis III. He’s Tampa Bay’s high cowl cornerback and will obtain the franchise tag. The projected franchise tag for cornerbacks is $17.25 million in 2022. Spotrac has Davis’ free agent market worth at $19.6 million in 2022. So franchising Davis might theoretically save the Bucs $2.35 million on this case. But signing Davis to a long-term contract extension would permit the Bucs to decrease his 2022 cap worth and push a few of that cash into future years to assist Tampa Bay out within the interim.
After Godwin and Davis, Professional Bowl middle Ryan Jensen could be the following probably free agent goal to attempt to get re-signed. Jensen will likely be 31 later this 12 months, however continues to be taking part in at a really excessive stage. The Bucs drafted Robert Hainsey within the third spherical final 12 months, however he bought little or no taking part in time within the preseason and the common season. It could be fairly a bet to begin Hainsey in 2022, no matter who’s at quarterback. Jensen was averaging $10.5 million in Tampa Bay and Spotrac has his market worth with a brand new deal at $10 million.
Security Jordan Whitehead may be the following excessive worth free agent re-signing for the Bucs. Whitehead had an amazing contract 12 months with a career-high 74 tackles, two interceptions and a compelled fumble in 14 video games. Spotrac has his market worth at $7.8 million per 12 months. That may be just a little wealthy for the Bucs’ liking. We’ll see how a lot they worth Whitehead, particularly with Mike Edwards on the roster for an additional season. If Whitehead strikes on in free company Edwards would probably begin reverse Antoine Winfield, Jr. in 2022.
QUESTION: Perhaps the query we must be asking is WWBBD (What would Invoice Belichick do?) when he misplaced Tom Brady. The reply is he went with Cam Newton till he might draft a QB and begin him. We’re already a 12 months forward.
ANSWER: That’s true. The Bucs properly invested a second-round decide in quarterback Kyle Trask final 12 months. This 12 months’s quarterback draft class is filled with query marks with no clear-cut high QB. Tampa Bay believes Trask is healthier than any of the sign callers on this 12 months’s crop of quarterbacks and so they could possibly be proper.
The one challenge is that Trask hardly bought any reps final season because the fourth-string quarterback. So other than bodily improvement within the weight room and dealing on his pocket mobility and a faster launch, Trask didn’t make many strides in working in Bruce Arians’ offense as a rookie.
To your level, the Bucs will search for a veteran quarterback to begin in 2022 ought to Tom Brady maintain true to his retirement. There aren’t many attractive choices in free company apart from re-signing backup quarterback Blaine Gabbert and maybe Teddy Bridgewater, whom the Bucs had been contemplating in 2020 earlier than signing Brady. Both Gabbert or Bridgewater could be a giant step backwards from Brady, in fact. However ether would serve a function as a bridge to Trask in 2023.
The Bucs leaked out phrase that they are going to be making an attempt to land a confirmed, big-name quarterback this offseason to Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero. Whereas I’m positive they’re doing their due diligence in investing Deshaun Watson’s authorized state of affairs in Houston and exploring what it will take to amass Russell Wilson from Seattle, don’t anticipate both state of affairs to materialize for Tampa Bay. The Bucs put that report out to indicate that they’re no less than making an attempt to get a giant title to switch Brady. And they’re legitimately making an attempt to take action. However the probabilities of dealing for a confirmed, upper-echelon quarterback stay fairly slim. So don’t get your hopes up.
QUESTION: Don’t you assume the Bucs can carry again sufficient key gamers and a brand new couple faces to draw Tom Brady again subsequent 12 months or entice a top-notch QB to wish to be traded to Tampa?
ANSWER: The Bucs have to carry again sufficient key gamers no matter whether or not Tom Brady decides towards retirement or if the workforce can lure one other high quarterback to Tampa Bay through a commerce. The workforce should concentrate on persevering with to construct its roster regardless of who’s beneath middle in 2022. Whereas the quarterback is a vital place, particularly in Bruce Arians’ QB-driven offense, soccer is a workforce sport.
This 12 months’s MVP, Inexperienced Bay’s Aaron Rodgers, wasn’t even within the NFC Championship Sport. Nor had been Brady’s Buccaneers. Neither of the highest two quarterbacks within the AFC – Kansas Metropolis’s Patrick Mahomes and Buffalo’s Josh Allen – had been within the Tremendous Bowl this season.
The purpose is that the Bucs want to search out an higher echelon quarterback to switch Brady sooner reasonably than later. However that’s only one place of many who Tampa Bay wants to deal with in 2022.
If the Bucs can re-sign the likes of receiver Chris Godwin, cornerback Carlton Davis III, middle Ryan Jensen, security Jordan Whitehead and defensive finish Will Gholston, that may be an amazing begin to free company. Tampa Bay might then presumably re-sign a number of different free brokers and take a look at the market to see who could possibly be added to improve the roster.
QUESTION: Ohio State WR Chris Olave is getting mocked to the mid-20s, however to not the Bucs. Is he a match for Tampa Bay?
ANSWER: The Bucs will certainly be available in the market for an additional high notch, starting-caliber receiver to switch Antonio Brown. Even when the workforce re-signs Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay will want one other receiver to workforce with him and Mike Evans. Bruce Arians likes to deploy three-receiver units. Pewter Report has mocked Arkansas’ Treylon Burks to the Bucs at No. 27 in its newest 2022 Bucs 7-Spherical Mock Draft.
There doesn’t look like a clear-cut No. 1 extensive receiver on this 12 months’s draft class. Magnificence will likely be within the eye of the beholder. However there could possibly be as many as 5 receivers chosen within the first spherical. Burks, USC’s Drake London, the Ohio State duo of Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave all have first-round potential. So does Penn State’s Jahan Dotson. The Bucs will likely be on the mercy of the groups drafting forward of them to see who’s left. Assuming they wish to draft one of many high receivers.
The 6-foot-1, 188-pound Olave has respectable dimension and excellent pace. Arians places a giant emphasis on pace at receiver, which is one thing Tyler Johnson merely doesn’t have sufficient of. Scotty Miller has excellent pace, however not sufficient dimension or consistency to begin at 5-foot-9, 174 kilos. Breshad Perriman is massive and quick, however is inconsistent catching the ball and getting open. That’s created a have to draft one other high-caliber receiver in 2022.
Olave, who caught 175 passes for two,702 yards (15.4 avg.) and 35 touchdowns in 4 years at Ohio State, could be a very good match as an out of doors receiver. However he most likely doesn’t have the scale or physicality to rotate contained in the slot with Godwin.
Arians likes larger receivers to play the slot and assist as blockers within the run recreation. The 208-pound Godwin is in the identical bodily mould as former Arians’ slot receivers like former Pittsburgh receiver Hines Ward (205 kilos) and former Arizona receiver Larry Fitzgerald (218 kilos). That’s why Pewter Report had the Bucs drafting the 6-foot-3, 225-pound Burks within the first spherical.